The Wrong Half: Why Ads Will Not Fix Consumer AI's Money Problem
By Don Kellogg,
President & Principal Analyst
Consumer AI is rapidly adopting the monetization playbook that transformed search, social media, and streaming. This report examines whether advertising can become the primary engine of long-term growth for AI platforms and explores the relationship between user behavior, subscription economics, and platform strategy across the consumer AI market. Drawing on Recon Analytics consumer research, the analysis evaluates how monetization decisions may shape competition among leading AI providers and influence the future economics of consumer artificial intelligence.
Starlink's Opportunities and Challenges Selling Business Internet and Mobile Services
By Daryl Schoolar,
Analyst & Director
Starlink is emerging as a meaningful coverage-layer solution for underserved business markets, but its strongest opportunities may come through carrier partnerships rather than direct competition with incumbent operators. Drawing on nearly 10,000 business respondents and multiple 2026 survey waves, this report examines where satellite connectivity fits within business broadband strategy, rural coverage expansion, FWA backup architectures, and carrier-managed service models.
Musk's Starlink: The S-1 Says Wholesale, The Pattern Says MNO
By Roger Entner,
Analyst and Founder
SpaceX's S-1 frames the wireless story as wholesale supply, but the broader operating pattern points to a more complex strategic picture. This report examines the public-record pieces surrounding Starlink, spectrum, regulatory approvals, network identity, deployment capability, carrier positioning, funding architecture, and the implications these developments may carry for incumbents, investors, policymakers, and capital allocators.
US Consumer Device Purchase Journey – Part 4: Demographic Segmentation and the Upgrade Pipeline
By XJ Wang,
Analyst & Director
Apple commands 73.7 percent of the 18-to-29 smartphone cohort and continues gaining share, while Samsung’s combined portfolio only overtakes Apple among consumers aged 45 and older. Drawing on 248,279 smartphone respondents, this report maps the demographic fault lines shaping the US smartphone market, quantifies the upgrade pipeline across consumer segments, and identifies where future competitive battles will be won or lost.
US MNOs: What Are You Going to Do When Musk Comes to You?
By Roger Entner,
Analyst & Founder
The three nationwide US MNOs spent the Q1 2026 earnings cycle rejecting the idea of a Starlink MVNO. Four days later, they announced a satellite Direct-to-Device joint venture that may ultimately accelerate the exact competitive structure they are trying to avoid. This report examines how SpaceX quietly assembled the spectrum, satellite capacity, network identity, regulatory approvals, and consumer-brand infrastructure required to move from satellite provider to full-scale wireless operator. It analyzes the structural pressures facing AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile, the strategic role of cable and wholesale relationships, and why the long-term endpoint may not be an MVNO arrangement at all, but a Starlink-operated mobile network competing directly inside the US wireless market.
PROMISES, PROMISES, PROMISES: Five Carriers, One Question
By Roger Entner,
Analyst & Founder
Five major US carriers spent 2025 launching customer-centric programs built around price guarantees, loyalty systems, AI-powered support, and pricing transparency. But underneath the marketing, churn continued rising across the major wireless carriers while cable operators captured an increasing share of wireless growth. This report analyzes how AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, Charter, and Comcast structured their customer-retention strategies, where price locks actually protect customers, and why the next phase of telecom competition will be defined by predictability rather than promotional pricing.
Fiber Pays Twice: The Convergence Multiplier in US Telecom
By Roger Entner,
Analyst & Founder
Standard carrier valuation treats wireless and broadband as parallel businesses that happen to share a balance sheet, leaving the most valuable thing converged carriers create off the table. The convergence multiplier is not a bundle discount but a structural shift in market share driven by which carrier owns the anchor product, with fiber ownership predicting wireless outcomes better than any other variable. Investors valuing AT&T and Verizon on sum-of-the-parts arithmetic are pricing the wrong asset.
Closing The Gap: T-Mobile's Push For Large And Midsize Business
By Daryl Schoolar,
Analyst & Director
T-Mobile’s network performance now ranks among the best in the U.S., validated by third-party benchmarks, yet large and midsize businesses continue to favor AT&T and Verizon due to gaps in perception, relationships, and service awareness. Based on survey data from 4,500+ business decision-makers, the analysis quantifies these barriers and highlights T-Mobile’s efforts to address them while underscoring the growing competitive impact of offerings like SuperMobile and AI voice translation.
US Consumer Device Purchase Journey – Part 3: Pre-Purchase Research and Distribution Channel Dynamics
By XJ Wang,
Analyst & Director
Friends and family recommendations are the top research source for every brand every month from May through December 2025, running at 9.5–13.5 percent across all brand tiers. Every digital channel trails it. The word-of-mouth engine costs manufacturers nothing to reach, runs entirely within the existing user base, and compounds with every person who joins the ecosystem.
US Consumer Device Purchase Journey – Part 2: Purchase Drivers and Feature Priorities
By XJ Wang,
Analyst & Director
Device OEMs and carriers spent 2025 marketing AI to consumers who were buying phones because their screens cracked and their batteries died. Hardware failure was the single largest purchase driver across every brand tier and every month from May through December 2025, ranging from 5.6 to 13.2 percent. AI feature priority, by comparison, peaked at 5.1 percent in a single month for a single brand.